Geo Group Stock Analysis

GEO Stock  USD 16.34  0.36  2.25%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Geo Group extending back to July 27, 1994. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Geo stands at 16.34, as last reported on the 1st of February, with the highest price reaching 16.56 and the lowest price hitting 15.67 during the day.
IPO Date
26th of July 1994
200 Day MA
21.3962
50 Day MA
16.542
Beta
0.727
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Geo Group holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.788. At this time, Geo's Short Term Debt is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 1st of February 2026, Long Term Debt Total is likely to grow to about 2.2 B, while Short and Long Term Debt Total is likely to drop about 1.3 B. With a high degree of financial leverage come high-interest payments, which usually reduce Geo's Earnings Per Share (EPS).

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Geo's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Geo's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Geo Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Geo's stakeholders.
For most companies, including Geo, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Geo Group, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Geo's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
1.4948
Enterprise Value Ebitda
6.1247
Price Sales
0.8934
Shares Float
131 M
Wall Street Target Price
32.25
At this time, Geo's Total Stockholder Equity is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 1st of February 2026, Other Stockholder Equity is likely to grow to about 1.6 B, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop about 104.2 M. . At this time, Geo's Price Earnings Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 1st of February 2026, Price Book Value Ratio is likely to grow to 3.37, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.19.
Geo Group is undervalued with Real Value of 20.35 and Target Price of 32.25. The main objective of Geo stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Geo Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Geo's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Geo stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Geo is usually not traded on Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day ( substitute day ), Independence Day. Geo Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Geo Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Geo Stock Analysis Notes

About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.49. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Geo Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.02. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of January 2021. The firm had 3:2 split on the 25th of April 2017. is a leading diversified government service provider, specializing in design, financing, development, and support services for secure facilities, processing centers, and community reentry centers in the United States, Australia, South Africa, and the United Kingdom. GEOs worldwide operations include the ownership andor delivery of support services for 102 facilities totaling approximately 82,000 beds, including idle facilities and projects under development, with a workforce of up to approximately 18,000 employees. Geo operates under REITHealthcare Facilities classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 18000 people. To learn more about Geo Group call George Zoley at 561 893 0101 or check out https://www.geogroup.com.

Geo Quarterly Total Revenue

682.34 Million

Geo Group Investment Alerts

Geo Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Geo Group has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Stacker and Scrunch Partner to Bring AI Search Visibility to Earned Media at Scale

Geo Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Geo's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2006-05-04
2006-03-310.10.110.0110 
2006-03-13
2005-12-310.070.080.0114 
2005-08-15
2005-06-300.050.060.0120 
View All Earnings Estimates

Geo Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Geo's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Geo's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Geo's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Geo's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Geo Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
2.3 M
Ubs Group Ag2025-06-30
2.3 M
Carronade Capital Management Lp2025-06-30
2.2 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2025-06-30
2.2 M
Holocene Advisors, Lp2025-06-30
1.9 M
Maplelane Capital, Llc2025-06-30
1.9 M
Jane Street Group Llc2025-06-30
1.6 M
Newbrook Capital Advisors Lp2025-06-30
1.6 M
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
1.6 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
20.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
14.9 M
Note, although Geo's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Geo Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 2.26 B.

Geo Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.09 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.11 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.11 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.03  0.03 

Management Efficiency

Geo Group has Return on Asset of 0.0472 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0472 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.168 %, implying that it generated $0.168 on every 100 dollars invested. Geo's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Geo manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 1st of February 2026, Return On Capital Employed is likely to grow to 0.11, while Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop 0.01. At this time, Geo's Non Current Assets Total are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 1st of February 2026, Other Current Assets is likely to grow to about 87.3 M, while Total Assets are likely to drop about 2.1 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 9.14  4.73 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 3.09  1.93 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 17.50  14.04 
Price Book Value Ratio 3.17  3.37 
Enterprise Value Multiple 17.50  14.04 
Price Fair Value 3.17  3.37 
Enterprise Value4.5 B4.7 B
Geo Group benefits from a proactive management team that anticipates market trends. Our analysis delves into how this proactive stance influences financial metrics and stock valuation.
Operating Margin
0.1148
Profit Margin
0.0941
Beta
0.727
Return On Assets
0.0472
Return On Equity
0.168

Technical Drivers

As of the 1st of February, Geo retains the Standard Deviation of 2.6, risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.20). Geo technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Geo Group Price Movement Analysis

Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Triple Exponential Moving Average (T3) indicator is developed by Tim Tillson as Geo Group price series composite of a single exponential moving average, a double exponential moving average and a triple exponential moving average.

Geo Group Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Geo insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Geo's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Geo insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Geo Outstanding Bonds

Geo issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Geo Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Geo bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Geo Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Geo Predictive Daily Indicators

Geo intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Geo stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Geo Corporate Filings

8K
26th of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
8th of December 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
18th of November 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
6th of November 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
2nd of October 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
10th of September 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
8th of September 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
2nd of September 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Geo Forecast Models

Geo's time-series forecasting models are one of many Geo's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Geo's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Geo Bond Ratings

Geo Group financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much Geo have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Geo's borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
7
StrongView
Beneish M Score
(2.77)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

Geo Group Debt to Cash Allocation

As Geo Group follows its natural business cycle, the capital allocation decisions will not magically go away. Geo's decision-makers have to determine if most of the cash flows will be poured back into or reinvested in the business, reserved for other projects beyond operational needs, or paid back to stakeholders and investors.
Geo Group has 1.81 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.79, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Geo Group has a current ratio of 2.58, demonstrating that it is liquid and is capable to disburse its financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Geo to invest in growth at high rates of return.

Geo Total Assets Over Time

Geo Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Geo uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Geo Debt Ratio

    
  32.0   
It appears that about 68% of Geo's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Geo's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Geo, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Geo Corporate Bonds Issued

Geo Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

1.27 Billion

At this time, Geo's Short and Long Term Debt Total is very stable compared to the past year.

About Geo Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Geo prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Geo shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Geo. By using and applying Geo Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Geo entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.02  0.01 
Operating Profit Margin 0.12  0.07 
Net Profit Margin 0.01  0.01 
Gross Profit Margin 0.25  0.17 

Current Geo Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Geo analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Geo analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
32.25Strong Buy4Odds
Geo Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Geo analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Geo stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Geo Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Geo conference calls.
Geo Analyst Advice Details

Geo Stock Analysis Indicators

Geo Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Geo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Geo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Geo stock analysis, traders can identify Geo position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow159.9 M
Long Term Debt1.7 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding134.1 M
Total Stockholder Equity1.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-101.7 M
Tax Provision9.4 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y5.526
Property Plant And Equipment NetB
Cash And Short Term Investments76.9 M
Cash76.9 M
Accounts Payable67.8 M
Net Debt1.7 B
50 Day M A16.542
Total Current Liabilities340.2 M
Other Operating Expenses2.1 B
Non Current Assets Total3.1 B
Forward Price Earnings24.0385
Non Currrent Assets Other222.4 M
Stock Based Compensation18.1 M
When determining whether Geo Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Geo's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Geo Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Geo Group Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Geo Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Will Commercial Services & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Geo diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Geo. Market participants price Geo higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Geo data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.526
Earnings Share
1.65
Revenue Per Share
18.405
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.131
Return On Assets
0.0472
Investors evaluate Geo Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Geo's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Geo's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Geo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Geo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Geo's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.